San Francisco, CA, January 7, 2010 – In a national housing market fueled by tax credits, some areas hit bottom in early 2009 – at least for entry level housing. Multiple-offers and bidding wars continue in these areas despite an ongoing use of strategic defaults, notices of default proportionate to unemployment levels, legislation changes, government sponsored loan modifications, and a growing shadow inventory. If the national real estate market is like an ocean, with peaks, troughs, and tides, then where then should a real estate investor look for residential investment property?
FinestExpert.com’s first annual Top 20 Real Estate Investment Markets, analyzes over 10,000 real estate markets according to the US Census data (covering over 95% of the US population) to identify the most suitable places for real estate investors to seek stable and growth oriented areas.
It is not enough for the home prices to be dirt cheap with no where to go but up (because they could hobble along at depressed rates for a long time). If it were that simple, real estate investors would be in a “land rush” to get back into the rust-belt.
Stabilizing and turning-around housing prices follows basic supply and demand principles. San Francisco based FinestExpert.com compiled a collection of key factors, such as strong employment, rental markets, and growth levels as offset by foreclosures, that combine to determine the “best” real estate investment markets.
It is important to note that these top 20 markets are identified as good buy-and-hold real estate investment markets (vs. a quick fix-and-flip … although those deals certainly exist as well). Consequently cashflow positive properties were a critical component – which takes into account home prices, hyper-local rents, plus taxes, insurance and other operating expenses. All this information is wrapped up in FinestExpert.com’s FE-Score, the first of its kind quantitative rating system to score residential real estate as potential investment property. On a scale to 1,000, a truly hot cash-flow deal is any rating above 850.
Co-Founder, Robert Boyer said, "Everyone wants a deal, no matter what market they are in. FinestExpert.com tracks property prices and values to compute an effective "discount" for every property, thus allowing users to easily find the golden nuggets." In the table below, the column "discounted properties" documents how many listings (and the percentage of total listings) that are at least 10% below their estimated value.
For the first-time homebuyer, a good cash flow deal represents the ability to own for less than it would cost to rent. These make excellent starter properties, especially for someone who may want to one day become a real estate investor.
The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas metro area heads the list of best real estate investment markets for 2010, with twelve specific places to consider. The first subgroup is comprised of high-volume, active real estate regions to attract investors nationwide.
In Depth: Top 20 Real Estate Investment Markets for 2010
| Rank | Place or MSA | Discounted Properties | Cashflow Deals |
|
1 |
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX | ||
| Fort Worth |
1,672 |
453 |
|
| Grand Prairie |
364 |
96 |
|
| Denton |
195 |
17 |
|
| Little Elm |
129 |
14 |
|
| Desoto |
173 |
72 |
|
| Wylie |
123 |
10 |
|
| Rowlett |
142 |
31 |
|
| Frisco |
457 |
27 |
|
| McKinney |
413 |
6 |
|
| The Colony |
148 |
17 |
|
| Rockwall |
123 |
21 |
|
| Allen |
267 |
9 |
|
|
2 |
Houston, TX |
5,142 |
1,000+ |
| Alvin |
16 |
12 |
|
| Pearland |
212 |
36 |
|
| Conroe |
193 |
37 |
|
|
3 |
Tulsa, OK |
647 |
164 |
| Broken Arrow |
190 |
36 |
|
| Owasso |
68 |
11 |
|
|
4 |
San Antonio, TX |
3,547 |
496 |
|
5 |
Salt Lake City, UT |
768 |
15 |
| Riverton |
147 |
4 |
|
| Draper |
150 |
2 |
|
| Herriman |
72 |
1 |
|
|
6 |
Phoenix, AZ |
4,272 |
1,000+ |
| Buckeye |
296 |
108 |
|
| Goodyear |
320 |
40 |
|
| Queen Creek |
506 |
58 |
|
| Surprise |
490 |
55 |
|
| Gilbert |
845 |
8 |
|
| Chandler |
894 |
45 |
|
| Avondale |
213 |
89 |
|
| Peoria |
590 |
119 |
|
|
7 |
Indianapolis-Carmel, IN |
829 |
261 |
| Noblesville |
241 |
28 |
|
| Fishers |
187 |
10 |
|
|
8 |
Denver-Aurora, CO |
4,314 |
342 |
| Commerce City |
207 |
43 |
|
| Aurora |
1,928 |
177 |
|
|
9 |
Oklahoma City, OK |
1,085 |
212 |
|
10 |
Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC |
3,348 |
296 |
This second list is composed of smaller areas worthy of consideration to regional investors.
| Rank | Place or MSA | Discounted Properties | Cashflow Deals |
|
1 |
Ames, IA |
11 |
0 |
|
2 |
Des Moines, IA |
601 |
106 |
| Ankeny |
72 |
0 |
|
| Urbandale |
90 |
3 |
|
| Waukee |
33 |
0 |
|
|
3 |
Southaven, MS |
54 |
20 |
|
4 |
Killeen, TX |
268 |
17 |
|
5 |
New Orleans, LA |
400 |
115 |
|
6 |
Madison, WI |
339 |
0 |
|
7 |
Midland, TX |
41 |
13 |
|
8 |
Maricopa, AZ |
231 |
46 |
|
9 |
Little Rock, AR |
207 |
33 |
| Conway |
2 |
0 |
|
| Benton |
39 |
8 |
|
| Cabot |
23 |
6 |
|
|
10 |
Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN | ||
| La Vergne |
107 |
10 |
|
| Spring Hill |
81 |
6 |
|
| Murfreesboro |
228 |
16 |
1 – Employment from US Dept Labor - Bureau of Labor Statistics - http://www.bls.gov/news.release/metro.t01.htm
2 – Rents organically collected nationwide by FinestExpert.com
3 – Growth - Population from US Census Bureau at http://www.census.gov/popest/cities/cities.html
Building Permits from US Census Bureau at http://www.census.gov/const/C40/Table3/t3yu200911.txt
4 – Foreclosures from RealtyTrac via http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/Realtytrac-1066597.html
Author Resource: FinestExpert.com provides technological solutions to instantly find investment worthy residential real estate opportunities, nationwide. They apply extensive investing and analysis experience to provide the first of its kind, nationwide real estate search for residential investment property based on property financial characteristics as well as the more common property and location characteristics. 10,000,000-plus homes for sale, foreclosures, and rental listings are processed and pre-analyzed weekly to enable real estate investors to replace hours of number crunching with just a few clicks.
Nice writing. You are on my RSS reader now so I can read more from you down the road.
Allen Taylor
This is a great website and also a great blogpost. I just found out about this website yesterday and today just found out about this blog. I will continue reading this blog from now on. I love stats on housing markets. I do know a person could fix and flip in these markets also. They could also wholesale homes in these markets for cash.